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Comparison of Different Definitions of the Metabolic Syndrome in Relation to Cardiovascular Mortality in European Men and Women

The DECODE Study Group; Qiao Q. Diabetologia. 2006;49:2837-2846.

Several different definitions of the metabolic syndrome have been proposed by various organizations. Individuals with metabolic syndrome are thought to be at higher risk of mortality due to cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, it is unclear whether a diagnosis of metabolic syndrome places an individual at any higher risk of CVD than the underlying parameters of the definition. This paper determined the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome by 4 different definitions and the corresponding risk of CVD, non-CVD, and all-cause mortality.

The 4 sets of criteria included those established by the World Health Organization (WHO), the US National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP), the revised NCEP criteria (NCEP-R), and the International Diabetes Federation (IDF). Definitions of the metabolic syndrome as used in this study are given in Table 1.

Table 1. Metabolic syndrome definitions and criteria

Criteria

WHO

NCEP

NCEP-R

IDF

Definition

IGT and at least 2 additional criteria

Any 3 of 5 criteria

Any 3 of 5 criteria

Central obesity (WC) and at least 2 additional criteria

IGT

FPG≥110 mg/dL and/or 2hPG≥140 mg/dL and/or insulin resistance

FPG≥110 mg/dL

FPG≥100 mg/dL

FPG≥100 mg/dL

Obesity

BMI>30 kg/m2 or

WHR>0.90 (males),

WHR>0.85 (females)

WC>102 cm (males), WC>88 cm (females)

WC>102 cm (males), WC>88 cm (females)

WC>94 cm (males), WC>80 cm (females)

BP

BP≥140/90 mm Hg or taking antihypertensive medication

BP≥130/85 mm Hg or taking antihypertensive medication

BP≥130/85 mm Hg or taking antihypertensive medication

Systolic BP≥130 or diastolic BP≥85 mm Hg

Dyslipidemia criterion 1

TAG≥1.7 mmol/L and/or HDL <0.9 mmol/L (males), HDL <1.0 mmol/L (females)

TAG≥1.7 mmol/L

TAG≥1.7 mmol/L

TAG≥1.7 mmol/L

Dyslipidemia criterion 2

N/A

HDL <1.03 mmol/L (males), HDL <1.29 mmol/L (females)

HDL <1.03 mmol/L (males), HDL <1.29 mmol/L (females)

HDL <1.03 mmol/L (males), HDL <1.29 mmol/L (females)

IGT = impaired glucose tolerance; FPG = fasting plasma glucose; 2hPG = 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test result using 75 g load; BMI = body mass index; WHR = waist-hip ratio; BP = blood pressure; IFG = impaired fasting glucose; TAG = triacylglycerol; WC = waist circumference; N/A = not applicable

A total of 10,269 patients from 9 cohorts of 7 studies participating in the Diabetes Epidemiology: Collaborative Analysis of Diagnostic Criteria in Europe (DECODE) study formed the study population. The mean age of the patients was 56 years (range: 30-88 years), 45.9% of patients were male, and the maximum duration of follow up between studies ranged from 6.6 to 16 years.

The prevalence of metabolic syndrome within the DECODE cohort varied by definition and by gender, ranging from 25.9% to 35.9% for males and 19.7% to 34.1% for women, with the IDF definition yielding the highest prevalence. Considerable discrepancies in which individuals were classified as having metabolic syndrome were noted between definitions. Of the 2,116 males satisfying the criteria for any of 3 definitions for metabolic syndrome (WHO, IDF, and NCEP), only 707 (33.5%) satisfied all 3. Likewise, of 2,096 females satisfying the criteria of any of the 3 definitions, only 793 (37.8%) satisfied all 3.

The total number of deaths was 896, with 535 non-CVD deaths and 299 CVD-related deaths. The cause of death could not be determined in 62 cases.

In males, all definitions of the metabolic syndrome were associated with increased CVD-related mortality, with the WHO definition yielding the highest Cox proportional hazard ratio (HR) (HR range: 1.51-2.09), but the strongest risk factor was hypertension (blood pressure ≥130/85 mm Hg or taking antihypertensive medication), with a multivariate adjusted HR of 2.30. BP ≥140/90 mm Hg (or treated) had a multivariate adjusted HR of 2.04. The strongest risk factors for non-CVD mortality in males were BMI>30 kg/m2 or WHR>0.90 (HR = 1.50), BP ≥140/90 mm Hg (or treated) (HR = 1.42), BP ≥130/85 mm Hg (or treated) (HR = 1.31), and FPG≥110 mg/dL (HR = 1.31). Non-CVD deaths were not correlated with any definition of the metabolic syndrome (HR range: 1.02-1.25). The strongest risk factors for all-cause mortality in males were BP ≥140/90 mm Hg (or treated) (HR = 1.60), BP ≥130/85 mm Hg (or treated) (HR = 1.57), satisfaction of the WHO criteria for metabolic syndrome (HR = 1.57), and BMI>30 kg/m2 or WHR>0.90 (HR = 1.50).

In females, the association between the different definitions of the metabolic syndrome and CVD-related mortality was weaker (HR range: 1.09-1.60). The strongest risk factor for CVD-related mortality was hypertension (BP ≥130/85 mm Hg or taking antihypertensive medication), with a multivariate adjusted HR of 2.31. BP ≥140/90 mm Hg had a multivariate adjusted HR of 2.07. FPG≥110 mg/dL had a multivariate adjusted HR of 2.17. The strongest risk factors for non-CVD mortality in females were FPG≥110 mg/dL (HR = 1.41), BMI>30 kg/m2 or WHR>0.85 (HR = 1.34), and WC>88 cm (HR = 1.27). Non-CVD deaths were not correlated with any definition of the metabolic syndrome (HR range: 1.05-1.09). The strongest risk factors for all-cause mortality in females were FPG≥110 mg/dL or 2hPG ≥140 mg/dL (HR = 1.50), FPG≥110 mg/dL (HR = 1.40), and BMI>30 kg/m2 or WHR>0.85 (HR = 1.33).

These findings suggest that the current definitions of the metabolic syndrome have limited utility in predicting mortality relative to conventional univariate or multivariate cardiovascular risk factor assessment.

 



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